Daily thoroughbred pace rankings

See the race before it runs.

One graph per race: every horse's early and late pace ranked against the field. Lone speed, closers, meltdowns — answered at a glance.

🏇 Coast to coast, piled into one card.

Every day we round up individual races from tracks all across North America — as many as the day offers — and pile them into a single daily card. Your card is never limited to one track's program.

One click: the picks sheet holds everything on one page — every pick, its audio clip, its projected running order, and the full pace card. It's all free unless you are uploading your own past performance data — that's the only charge: $5 for a day of uploads.

Need a past-performance file to upload? Where to get past performances — every vendor that sells or gives downloadable files.

Race 8 · 6 Furlongs DIRT

Maiden Special Weight · sample card
4Hot Fries
EARLY#1
LATE#3
10Won'tcatchmecryan
EARLY#2
LATE#5
5Candy Illusion
EARLY#5
LATE#2
2Midnight Caller
EARLY#8
LATE#1

Why the morning line wins

We spent months trying to beat the morning line, testing approach after approach on hundreds of races — pace-figure reordering, handicapper consensus, track-bias adjustments, a connections-based blend, our own fully transparent betting line, and scenario-based pace reordering. None of them beat it. Some were coin flips. One was actively harmful. The route late-pace bonus we were sure would help? It made things worse.

Here's what we learned: the line maker already priced it in. The person setting that morning line watches the workouts, knows which barns are live, sees the entries before you do, and has been doing this for decades. Every angle we tried — every "edge" — was already reflected in those odds.

So we stopped fighting it. Our ranking method is dead simple: the morning line top three, in order. No black box, no proprietary figures, no magic. On a 230-race verification set, our pace composite finished behind plain morning-line order. Across every test we have run, nothing we built has beaten it. Another AI independently verified our work and reached the same conclusion.

What we do add is vision. Each race gets a dual-graph pace visualization — every horse ranked against its actual field on early speed and late kick, shown as clean percentile bars. You'll see the lone speed, the pace duel, or the closer's setup in seconds. Pace is annotation only — it never reorders the field, because in our tests reordering never beat the morning line.

That's the product: respect the line, see the pace. The line tells you who. The graphs show you how.

How it works

From past performances to a one-glance pace picture.

1

We read the form

Every morning we pull the official past performances for the day's thoroughbred cards and extract early and late pace figures for every starter.

2

We rank the field

Each horse is ranked against its actual field — #1 is the fastest early horse, #1 the strongest closer. No raw numbers to decode, just ranks and percentiles.

3

You read one graph

One graph per race, two lines per horse: early pace and late pace. Spot the lone speed, the duel, or the closer's setup in seconds.

An AI-run operation

The Daily Pace Card is run by AI. The picks, the pace sheets, and the podcast are all produced by AI. The system behind them was built and tested using many of today's leading AI systems in a strict deterministic environment set up as a handicapping lab, and it has been independently audited by other Large Language Models.

What it costs

The card is free — every race, every day, supported by ads. The only charge on the site is $5 for a day of uploading your own sheets.

Visual pace rankings for races across North America — the day's card, piled into one card.

What are pace figures?

Pace figures measure how fast a horse runs early in a race and how strongly it finishes. In horse racing handicapping, the early pace (often labeled E1) captures a horse's speed to the first call, while the late pace (LP) captures its closing kick. Races are won and lost on pace scenarios: a lone front-runner with no early challengers can steal a race on the lead, while three speed horses dueling through fast fractions can set the table for a deep closer.

How to read our pace graphs

Each Daily Pace Card graph shows every horse in a race on two lines — one for early pace, one for late pace. Horses are ranked against their actual field, so #1 always means "best early horse in this race" and #1 late means "best closer in this race." Percentile bars make the gaps visual at a glance. Running-style flags (early specialist, late specialist, versatile) highlight which horses own which part of the race.

Early vs. late pace

Sprint races are usually decided by early pace — the best E1 horses contest the lead and the winner often comes from the front half of the field. Routes reward late pace — the best LP horses sustain their run when sprinters fade. Our dual-line view shows both dimensions together, so you can see which horses can do both: the versatile top-5 early and late threats.

Why a pace picture instead of raw past performances

Traditional past performances spread pace across columns of numbers. A pace picture puts the whole scenario in one graph per race. You still handicap your way — the morning-line order stands and pace is annotation, not a pick — but you get the race shape in seconds instead of minutes.

FAQ

What are pace figures in horse racing?
Pace figures quantify how fast a horse runs at different stages of a race. Early pace figures measure speed to the early calls; late pace figures measure the finishing kick. Together they describe the likely shape of a race — who will lead, who will press, and who will close.
How do I read a pace projector?
Look for the race shape: one dominant early horse with no challengers means lone speed; several top-ranked early horses means a duel that favors closers. Our graphs rank every horse #1 through last in early and late pace, so the scenario jumps out without decoding raw numbers.
What's the difference between early and late pace?
Early pace is about the first part of the race — who gets the lead and at what cost. Late pace is about the finish — who is still running when others tire. Sprints skew early, routes skew late, and versatile horses rank highly in both.
What tracks are covered?
We cover the day\'s races gathered from tracks across North America — the tracks change with the day's racing. Recent cards include Delaware Park, Keeneland, Parx, Mahoning Valley, and Presque Isle Downs.
Is the card really free?
Yes. The card, the picks sheet, the consensus sheet, the results, the blog, the guides and the podcast are all free, with no account needed. The site is supported by ads. All picks, sheets and the podcast are AI-produced. The only charge is $5 for one day (24 hours) of uploading your own past-performance sheets at members.thoroughwiz.com. That is a one-day pass, not a subscription. The results archive is public — anyone can check the record.
How are the selections made?
The ranking anchor is the morning line. Selections come from a five-factor consensus scored over the morning-line top four: morning line, our handicap weight, our speed figure, early pace, and draw. The weight and the figure descend from published handicapping literature that was tested before use — see The Books Behind the Method. The consensus is a selection aid. It makes no wagering promise. All picks, sheets and the podcast are AI-produced.
Which past-performance files can I upload?
Not every past-performance file works. The formats verified working today are: Brisnet Ultimate Past Performances (PDF), Daily Racing Form past performances (PDF), TrackMaster past performances (PDF), TrackMaster ppXML (an .xml file, or a .zip holding one), and Brisnet single-file exports (.DRF). Equibase past-performance PDFs are not mapped yet, and the list grows as more formats are mapped. The member dashboard shows this list and asks you to confirm it before you upload. You can upload a single race or a full card; your uploads stay on your account, and you can delete them whenever you like. Need a file? Where to Get Past Performances lists the vendors — a vendor appearing on that page is not a guarantee that its files will process. Uploaded sheets are AI-produced.
Is there anything to cancel?
There is nothing to cancel. The card is free, and the $5 upload pass covers one day (24 hours) only. It is not a subscription and it does not renew.